Timmer Questions 60/40 Portfolio Revival Amid Weakening Stock-Bond Link
Fidelity's Jurrien Timmer questions the 60/40 portfolio comeback as higher Treasury yields sustain a positive stock-bond correlation.
Chinese regulator warns AI over-investment crowds out traditional sectors and raises risks. AI stocks fell across Asia.
On Tuesday, a senior Chinese financial regulator cautioned that the rapid worldwide influx of capital into artificial intelligence endangers established industries and overall financial stability.
Concurrently, stocks heavily tied to the AI sector are losing ground across Asian markets, bringing their premium valuations under fresh scrutiny.
Xiao Yuanqi, vice head of China's National Financial Regulatory Administration, presented his caution during a speech in Hong Kong at the Global Financial Leaders' Summit, an event hosted by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority.
The official pointed out that the massive financial flows towards premier AI enterprises have fueled an overly rapid scale-up. Consequently, longer-established sectors are encountering a 'crowding-out effect,' where their borrowing expenses increase.
This dynamic restricts their chance to reinvest and expand operations, while simultaneously elevating credit risks. In light of this, Xiao pressed for the creation of specialized frameworks for macroeconomic oversight and risk mitigation.
China's latest market rescue efforts are failing to restore investor confidence:
— Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) November 3, 2026
The tech-heavy Star 50 fell nearly -4% on Tuesday, dropping to its lowest level since April 2025 and wiping out the previous session's gains, while the CSI 300 finished -0.2% lower.
Vice Premier He Lifeng addressed the same summit by reaffirming Beijing's commitment to Hong Kong, characterizing the city as an essential financial center and a marketplace for offshore yuan.
He also pledged to preserve an open external circuit for the yuan and to augment its liquidity, while Beijing makes plans to increase the issuance of both sovereign and corporate bonds denominated in the currency.
Chief Executive John Lee echoed these sentiments by drawing attention to the region's stability and advantages, pointing to areas such as commodities, digital assets, and green bonds. Further, officials reported progress on establishing a gold trading link with Shanghai.
This caution surfaces at a time when AI-heavy market segments are showing signs of strain throughout Asia. Major bourses in China, South Korea, Japan, and Taiwan have all experienced notable decreases recently.
Within China, the tech-focused STAR 50 slid by almost 4% on Tuesday, reaching a low not seen since April 2025. At the same time, the broader CSI 300 benchmark dipped by 0.2%.
🚨 ASIA'S AI BUBBLE HAS POPPED
— Bull Theory (@BullTheoryio) November 3, 2026
$7 TRILLION has been wiped out from AI concentrated Asian markets.
🇰🇷 South Korea: -$2.17 trillion, crashing -40% in 4 months
🇨🇳 China: -$3.01 trillion, falling -16% in 6 months
🇯🇵 Japan: -$1.20 trillion, fell -13.5% in over 4 months
State-aligned buying by the so-called 'national team' pushed exchange-traded fund volumes to approximately 120 billion yuan ($18 billion), a level not reached since late January.
Beijing also brought back support measures, encompassing broader stock-buying mechanisms and more affordable financing for share buybacks. Nonetheless, investor confidence remains precarious following the steep drop in the CSI 300 during October.
Persistent worries regarding economic growth and the profitability of AI enterprises are exerting downward pressure on market mood. For now, China's combined messages demonstrate an effort to harmonize innovation with stability.
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Fidelity's Jurrien Timmer questions the 60/40 portfolio comeback as higher Treasury yields sustain a positive stock-bond correlation.
The Bank of England is expected to raise Bank Rate to 4% on Thursday, its first hike of this cycle, with inflation at 3.5%.
Japan's services PMI rose to 51.7 in October, but the composite PMI slipped to 52.1, a five-month low, as hiring slowed and cost pressures persisted.
September data showed Australia's goods surplus at about A$2.8 billion, a seven-month peak, with LNG and metals exports up and gold imports down sharply.