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Canadian Economy Flat in July, Matching Forecasts

Canada's GDP was unchanged in July, matching expectations. An August flash estimate points to a 0.2% gain.

29/09/2026 12:423 min read
  • Prior month's reading was revised to +0.4% from an initial +0.3%.
  • A flash estimate for August points to a +0.2% increase.
  • Construction in July rose +1.3%.
  • Utilities gained +1.7%.
  • Manufacturing fell -0.9%, hurt by refinery outages.
  • Retail trade declined -1.0%, led by a -3.5% drop at gasoline stations.
  • Wholesale trade slipped -0.4%.

The flat July reading is solid given the upward revision to June and the encouraging flash estimate for August, which was underpinned by stronger mining and retail trade. USD/CAD climbed 7 pips to 1.4179.

In July, the goods-producing sector was little changed, as gains in construction and utilities offset declines elsewhere. The services-producing sector also held steady, with increases across several industries cancelling out drops in retail and wholesale trade.

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