Stablecoin Surge Forces Banks to Rethink Digital Payments Strategy
Banks are issuing stablecoins to retain payments market share as non-bank tokens reach $300B supply. Regulatory clarity and transaction volume drive the shift.
Stablecoin issuers and tokenised Treasury products can benefit from high rates, even as Bitcoin suffers.
That familiar chain of events has played out multiple times.
When government bond yields increase, investors can achieve a solid return from assets far less volatile than Bitcoin. Liquidity tightens, the cost of holding assets that generate no yield rises, and speculative positions typically suffer.
Yet viewing crypto's reaction to higher interest rates through that lens alone may be overly simplistic.
Although elevated rates may weigh on Bitcoin as a standalone asset, they could instead prove advantageous for certain segments of the crypto financial system.
Tether offers perhaps the clearest illustration within this sector.
USDT is predominantly backed by short-dated US government debt and other liquid holdings. With Treasury bills now yielding roughly 4%, the reserves underpinning those stablecoins do not remain idle. They generate income, and not a trivial amount.
In the second quarter, Tether recorded approximately $1.5 billion in net operating profit, driven primarily by earnings from US Treasuries and repurchase agreements. At end of June, there were around $184.6 billion of USDT in circulation.
Circle has pursued a comparable strategy with USDC. In Q2, it posted $701 million in revenue and reserve income while USDC circulation stood at $73.3 billion.
In short, the same high interest rates that create discomfort for Bitcoin can significantly improve the financial dynamics of several of crypto's largest enterprises.
That is before examining where the capital itself is headed.
Much like tokenised gold, this concept essentially replicates a Treasury bill or money-market fund but represented as a token on a blockchain. Investors can hold a token that provides exposure to those traditional assets.
This segment has expanded rapidly. In 2023, the tokenised Treasury market was worth roughly $300 million. By end of 2025, it had grown to just over $9 billion. As of August this year, it had reached $15 billion.
What does that indicate?
Higher rates may no longer be pushing every dollar out of the crypto ecosystem. Instead, some capital is merely shifting into a different corner of the space.
Rather than choosing between being on-chain and earning yield, investors increasingly can obtain both in the current evolving environment.
Naturally, this does not mean Bitcoin and crypto investors suddenly want the Federal Reserve to raise rates.
If yields continue to climb, the dollar strengthens and financial conditions tighten, Bitcoin and other risk-sensitive tokens would likely feel pressure. The fundamental macro relationship remains intact.
Yet the crypto landscape has clearly evolved.
Half a decade ago, higher interest rates primarily meant competition from cash and bonds. Today, stablecoin issuers can generate billions from those yields, and tokenised Treasury products can place those yields directly onto blockchains.
That alters the narrative around how money moves within this space.
Does that mean higher rates are good for crypto prices? Probably not.
But are they necessarily detrimental to the crypto industry? Not entirely.
In a market outlook where interest rates and bond yields may stay higher for longer, the chief beneficiary in crypto might not be the token offering the largest potential return. Rather, it could be the infrastructure that succeeds in putting that 5% Treasury yield on-chain.
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Disclaimer: this article comes from third-party media and is provided for reference only. It does not constitute investment advice. Crypto and other financial products carry significant price volatility risk, so please make your own decisions carefully.
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