PPI data eases hawkish Fed concerns, but chip stocks sink
PPI came in 0.1 pp below estimates, easing inflation fears. Dollar rose, AI stocks fell on China chip restrictions.
Fed's Collins sees additional policy tightening as warranted soon, as inflation remains high and broadens.
A December rate hike appears inevitable, with markets pricing in a 75% probability of consecutive increases. Bank of America now anticipates three straight hikes in December, January, and March.
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PPI came in 0.1 pp below estimates, easing inflation fears. Dollar rose, AI stocks fell on China chip restrictions.
US consumer spending indicators are softening, with retail sales, savings and fast-food traffic all showing cracks.
Fed's Daly says rates likely need to rise, citing broad inflation pressures and restrictive policy uncertainty.
Goldman Sachs says tariffs and the Iran conflict explain nearly all US inflation overshoot, but the Fed is still hiking.