Euro zone slowdown deepens as inflation stays sticky, vexing ECB
October PMI data show euro area growth cooling while inflation remains elevated, complicating ECB rate path.
Waller signaled no hurry to raise rates; yen jumped on suspected intervention.
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller dominated Thursday's trading after indicating he was not prepared to raise rates and would require CPI figures before deciding.
Investors interpreted that as reflecting the broader FOMC view, reducing September rate hike probabilities to 50/50.
Waller played down the employment data, though he noted an unexpected result might alter his stance.
His primary focus remains on upcoming inflation figures, guaranteeing that this month's CPI release will be a key market driver.
A yen surge also caught attention, with intervention widely suspected.
The USD/JPY pair slid steadily from early trading, dropping from 159.00 to a low of 155.30, before buyers lifted it by 50 pips.
This development bears watching, as the usual confirmation of intervention is missing and the move was not entirely linear.
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October PMI data show euro area growth cooling while inflation remains elevated, complicating ECB rate path.
UK flash services PMI came in at 53.1 in October, above the 51.8 estimate.
Eurozone October flash PMIs missed forecasts as growth continued at slowest pace, likely fueling ECB tightening speculation.
Germany's October flash manufacturing PMI was 54.2 versus 53.5 expected, while services and composite PMIs missed forecasts, pointing to slower activity.