Timmer Questions 60/40 Portfolio Revival Amid Weakening Stock-Bond Link
Fidelity's Jurrien Timmer questions the 60/40 portfolio comeback as higher Treasury yields sustain a positive stock-bond correlation.
The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25 basis points to 3.75-4%, citing resilient spending and strong productivity, aiming for price stability.
The Federal Open Market Committee voted unanimously, 12–0, to approve the following statement for release:
In support of the Federal Reserve's dual mandate, the Committee decided to lift the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point, bringing it to 3-3/4 to 4 percent. The Committee continues to pursue its policy of ensuring ample reserves in the banking system.
Economic activity continues to grow at a solid pace. Although uncertainty remains elevated, partly due to geopolitical developments, domestic spending has remained resilient. Productivity growth is strong, and capital investment is robust. Job gains have kept pace with the workforce, and the unemployment rate has remained little changed.
Inflation is still high. This policy action is intended to support a more timely return to the Committee's 2 percent inflation goal, as the Committee works to achieve price stability.
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Fidelity's Jurrien Timmer questions the 60/40 portfolio comeback as higher Treasury yields sustain a positive stock-bond correlation.
The Bank of England is expected to raise Bank Rate to 4% on Thursday, its first hike of this cycle, with inflation at 3.5%.
Japan's services PMI rose to 51.7 in October, but the composite PMI slipped to 52.1, a five-month low, as hiring slowed and cost pressures persisted.
September data showed Australia's goods surplus at about A$2.8 billion, a seven-month peak, with LNG and metals exports up and gold imports down sharply.