UK retail sales beat expectations in August
UK August retail sales rose 0.5% month-on-month, beating expectations for a 0.2% decline.
Ten-year bond yields in the US, UK, Japan, Germany and France hit multi-decade highs as oil above $100 fuels inflation fears.
Ten-year sovereign bond yields in five large economies hit levels not seen in decades during the past week. The United States and Britain recorded highs from 2007, while Japan touched a point last reached in 1996.
Germany's 10-year yield rose to its most elevated mark since 2009, and France's reached a level last observed in 2008. With oil trading above $100 per barrel, worries about resurging consumer prices are mounting ahead of a series of central bank policy meetings this week.
The selloff is among the most widespread bond-market declines in recent years. Escalating tensions in the Middle East have driven crude prices higher, reviving concerns that inflation could pick up again.
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That upward pressure has driven yields to points that Bitcoin has never touched since it was created.
Large-scale government debt issuance is adding to the strain. U.S. bonds are experiencing their worst decade in over 200 years, which expands the supply investors need to absorb. Japan's debt, exceeding 200% of its economy, leaves Tokyo particularly vulnerable to rising interest expenses.
Rising long-term borrowing costs feed into home loan rates, corporate financing, and public budgets. Among developed nations, France is flagged as the most at risk by analysts.
“The most vulnerable sovereigns are those combining large fiscal deficits, elevated debt burdens and reliance on external capital. France stands out among developed markets.”
Masahiko Loo, senior fixed income strategist at State Street Investment Management, said in an interview with CNBC.
Traders are also bracing for the Federal Reserve's interest-rate announcement this week, with market pricing indicating a strong chance of an increase. That decision could either calm the selloff or deepen it.
The concurrent rise across the U.S., Europe and Japan is not limited to one country. It signals a wider reassessment of sovereign risk and inflation outlooks. Whether the trend stabilizes or speeds up may depend on how central banks respond over the coming days.
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UK August retail sales rose 0.5% month-on-month, beating expectations for a 0.2% decline.
Bank of Japan raised its benchmark rate to 1.25% on Friday, the highest since 1995, as energy costs pressure economies.
The BOJ's rate hike to 1.25% was accompanied by two dissenting votes, putting Governor Ueda's press conference in focus.
The Bank of England kept its rate at 3.75% as the Fed raised to 4%, with the BoE arguing that energy-led inflation requires different tools.