Hayes: AI IPO Dilution May Tighten Bank Credit, Weigh on Bitcoin
Arthur Hayes says post-IPO share unlocks at SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI could tighten bank credit and impact Bitcoin.
Analyst Benjamin Cowen argues that low social interest in crypto may be due to reputational damage, not just a cyclical lull.
The analyst who runs Into The Cryptoverse, Benjamin Cowen, contends that crypto's lack of social engagement could stem from a deeper reputational issue instead of a typical downturn.
During a recent video where he weighed Bitcoin's (BTC) bull and bear scenarios against past cycle data, Cowen pointed to ongoing weak Google Trends and Wikipedia search volumes as a particularly concerning indicator for bullish traders.
Cowen's larger methodology scores bullish and bearish indicators from on-chain, technical, and sentiment sources to determine if a cycle bottom for Bitcoin is already in place. According to him, social engagement has continued to decline even though earlier bear markets reached their lowest points when search and app-store activity started climbing again.
Instead of presuming that search interest will bounce back as it did following prior troughs, Cowen offered an alternative explanation. He proposed that the trend might indicate enduring harm to the public's perception of the crypto sector.
“All it’s turned into recently is just memecoin griffs and scams.”
Cowen hypothesized that gold's social engagement was also low in the early 2010s, but that situation preceded a prolonged rally. He noted that thematic ETFs typically lag in performance for several years after their debut, suggesting that a revival in public interest might not follow a predictable timeline.
Bitcoin Bull Case Vs. Bear Casehttps://t.co/j3OYX1uuJt
— Benjamin Cowen (@benjamincowen) September 9, 2026
This worry mirrors a wider downturn in crypto media consumption. Cowan notes a drop in crypto YouTube viewership, which one content creator described as currently more severe than the 2018 bear market.
Throughout the video, Cowen assigned points to each side, yet he did not provide a definitive tally. He stated that the exercise is designed to refine analytical thinking rather than pinpoint a precise bottom.
His personal strategy continues to be dollar-cost averaging (DCA) into Bitcoin in the latter part of midterm election years. This method aligns with a previous Cowen prediction of a fourth-quarter Bitcoin floor around $44,000.
It remains uncertain whether social engagement remains low due to reputational harm or merely requires additional time for recovery. Cowen's own indicator tally allows for both possibilities.
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Disclaimer: this article comes from third-party media and is provided for reference only. It does not constitute investment advice. Crypto and other financial products carry significant price volatility risk, so please make your own decisions carefully.
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