Lumentum Stock Surges 570% in 12 Months, Outpacing Nvidia and Micron
Lumentum shares soared about 570% in a year, outperforming Nvidia and Micron, driven by AI infrastructure demand.
Nvidia reaches new all-time high as other Mag 7 stocks test support and resistance amid Nasdaq records.
Although the Nasdaq Composite and Nasdaq 100 are both at record highs, the Magnificent Seven stocks are not all following suit. Only Nvidia has reached a new all-time high today. The remaining six are each at a different point in their technical pathsâsome are holding support levels while others are still trying to clear resistance.
The technical levels for five of those stocksâMicrosoft, Meta Platforms, Alphabet, Nvidia, and Appleâdefine the bias, the risk, and the next targets.
Microsoft (MSFT): Shares of Microsoft are around $516, in a key swing zone between $513.50 and $517.60. The stock briefly broke above that zone to $522.50 earlier today but could not hold, falling back inside it. Buyers had their chance. To give the upside another try, they need to defend $513.50 and climb back above $517.60. A move past today's high would strengthen the case. Even then, there is still work to do before reaching the October 2025 high of $553.72 and the all-time high of $556.26, set in late July 2025. For now, the immediate fight is around the swing area. Holding above its lower edge keeps buyers in play. Falling below would turn the failed break into a bigger worry.
Meta Platforms (META): Meta rallied strongly from its late-July low around $523, helped by the release of Muse, which drove Septemberâs rise to near $780. After peaking on September 25, the stock pulled back to roughly $713, where buyers stepped in around the rising 100-hour moving average, now at $715.32. Holding that moving average was a good sign technically, and today's recovery has taken it to $741.58. But buyers still need to break through the swing area from $745 to $760. That zone is the next challenge before targeting this year's high near $780 and the 2025 highs between $790 and $796, including the all-time high at $796.25. Buyers have held support. Now they must show they can break resistance.
Alphabet (GOOGL): Alphabet shares are up today, but more work is needed to strengthen the bullish outlook. Yesterday, the stock fell below the 200-day moving average of $338.92, hitting a low of $335.61. Today's rebound has pushed it back above that long-term barometer, a positive move. However, the climb to $345.77 faltered near the 100-hour moving average of $345.50. Buyers must get and stay above that level to open the path to the declining 100-day moving average at $355.22. Note that the earlier break above the 100-day moving average on September 22 failed quickly. Buyers had their shot but could not follow through. Holding above the 200-day moving average and recapturing shorter-term resistance would help fix that damage. The all-time high of $408.61, from May 15, remains far above current levels.
Nvidia (NVDA): Nvidia leads the group, touching a new all-time high of $237.88 today and surpassing the May high of $236.54. The price also moved above and away from the swing area between $230.32 and $233.21. That former resistance zone now becomes key support on any pullback. Holding above it keeps buyers in charge, with $230 as the critical line. After a record high, traders look for the price to build on that momentum. A drop back below $230 would be discouraging and cast doubt on the breakout's strength.
Apple (AAPL): Apple hit its all-time high of $345.34 on September 21, but has since pulled back. Yesterday, the stock briefly dipped under the 200-hour moving average, now at $327.32, before recovering and closing above it. Sellers had a chance to push lower but could not follow through. Today's rebound has reached $334.54, bringing it near the 100-hour moving average of $335.48. If buyers can get and stay above that level, they would take another step toward regaining control, with the record high of $345.34 back in view. For now, the two hourly moving averages define the immediate fight: the 200-hour moving average as support, the 100-hour moving average as resistance.
A short technical lesson: An index at a record high does not mean every component is also at a high. Each stock has its own trend and levels of support and resistance. That is why traders must look past the index headline and define risk for each individual stock.
Breaking above resistance is only the first step. Staying above it lends credibility to the break. Similarly, holding support gives buyers a chance, but they must still clear the next resistance level. These levels offer a practical way to gauge whether buyers or sellers are in control.
Nvidia has broken to new highs. For the other four, the technical levels described above will indicate whether they can follow suit or whether sellers will reemerge. Those levels also show what traders should watch for next.
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