Jim Cramer Reaffirms $250 Palantir Target; Average Analyst Sees $202
Cramer reaffirms $250 Palantir target; average analyst target is $202, reflecting a more cautious Wall Street consensus.
Nvidia's Jensen Huang denies circular financing allegations, saying investments are small relative to revenue. Critics point to deals with CoreWeave and OpenAI.
The circular financing debate addresses a question investors have been asking for many months: whether the current AI infrastructure buildout is driven by genuine end-user demand or by vendor financing that feeds on itself. Nvidia's disclosure that three direct customers contributed 16%, 15% and 13% of revenue in the first half of fiscal 2027 provides statistical weight to the concern, regardless of how the investment structure is described. The IMF and BIS have both commented on AI financing risk more broadly, adding a macroeconomic dimension, with both pointing to increased use of debt and private credit across the AI value chain without targeting a specific company. For now, the debate appears more reputational than financial for Nvidia specifically, but any sign that hyperscaler capital expenditure plans are slowing would likely renew scrutiny of precisely this financing structure.
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Earlier:
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Huang says Nvidia isn't buying its own demand, but the scale of its investment web means the question isn't going away.
Summary:
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has pushed back against claims that the chipmaker is effectively financing its own demand. Speaking at the Goldman Sachs Communacopia and Technology Conference, he said the company's investments are too small relative to the business they generate to support that theory. The allegation, sometimes called circular financing, centres on a pattern critics see across the AI industry: Nvidia invests in an AI company or cloud provider, that company then buys Nvidia hardware, and the revenue flows back. The concern is not that demand is fake, but that the accounting distinction between an investment and a genuine sale becomes hard to separate.
The companies most frequently mentioned in this discussion are OpenAI and CoreWeave. Nvidia is both an investor in and a commercial partner of OpenAI, while CoreWeave depends on Nvidia-supplied infrastructure and financial backing. Huang has previously said Nvidia does not use its investment capital to artificially sustain customers, evaluating each investment on its own commercial merits. The numbers involved are significant. In January, Nvidia put $2 billion into CoreWeave Class A shares at $87.20 each, alongside a plan to build more than 5 gigawatts of AI data centre capacity with CoreWeave by 2030. OpenAI later announced a $110 billion funding round at a $730 billion pre-money valuation, with $30 billion coming from Nvidia, $30 billion from SoftBank and $50 billion from Amazon. On August 10, Nvidia went further, partnering with Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs and KKR on platforms meant to mobilise more than $500 billion in third-party capital for AI infrastructure. That is a fundraising target rather than a direct Nvidia commitment.
Huang's central defence involves reframing what a GPU represents commercially. "In AI, compute is revenue," he said, arguing that Nvidia's chips function as productive, revenue-generating assets rather than one-time hardware sales, which he says changes how the investment relationships should be viewed. Nvidia's own SEC disclosures add texture to the concentration question, showing three direct customers accounted for 16%, 15% and 13% of revenue in the first half of fiscal 2027. Huang has been managing expectations on this front for some time. In February, addressing earlier talk of a possible $100 billion OpenAI investment, he said "it was never a commitment," adding that Nvidia would invest "one step at a time."
The scrutiny extends beyond Nvidia to the wider AI financing ecosystem. The IMF said in April that AI-related investments could face strain in a downturn, noting increased circular financing across the value chain, though it judged the financial stability impact minor at this stage. The Bank for International Settlements went further on September 10, warning that rising use of debt and private credit to fund AI capital spending could contribute to a larger financial shock if returns fail to materialise as expected. The stakes are considerable given the size of the buildout: S&P Global estimates the five largest hyperscalers may spend a combined $5.3 trillion in capital expenditure through 2030, while Stanford's 2026 AI Index puts global AI compute capacity at the equivalent of 17.1 million H100 GPUs, with Nvidia accounting for more than 60% of that total. The underlying question — whether genuine end-user demand is keeping pace with the financing, orders and valuations being layered on top — remains unresolved and is likely to keep resurfacing as the buildout continues.
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