Oil edges higher after Trump rejects Hormuz reopening plan; diplomacy caps gains
Crude finished a volatile session modestly higher, with supply fears trumping hopes of a US-Iran breakthrough after Trump dismissed the Hormuz proposal.
Oil prices fell on reports of a possible resumption of US-Iran talks focused on an amended version of the seven-day Hormuz proposal.
Mediators are expected to hold separate meetings with Washington and Tehran, as US-Iran diplomatic efforts could restart as soon as Monday or Tuesday, according to an official familiar with the discussions.
Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi and the Qatari mediators are anticipated to stay in the US while the negotiations unfold. Reportedly at the center of the talks is a revised form of Iran's seven-day plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a proposal the country put forward on the margins of the UN General Assembly.
The news follows a weekend in which expectations for a diplomatic resolution were rekindled, only to be dashed by Trump's refusal to accept Iran's original offer. The prospect of talks returning offers markets another flicker of optimism.
Attention will center on whether the revised proposal is able to reconcile the gaps separating the US and Iranian positions. Significant headway would help allay fears of an extended turmoil in the Middle East and exert downward force on crude valuations. On the other hand, an inability to advance would keep the market susceptible to ongoing geopolitical and supply uncertainties, sustaining a bid under petroleum prices.
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Crude finished a volatile session modestly higher, with supply fears trumping hopes of a US-Iran breakthrough after Trump dismissed the Hormuz proposal.
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Aragchi's New York stay was not extended; he met mediators, but the US did not accept their proposal and offered nothing constructive. Oil rose on the report.
Iran's foreign minister meets mediators in New York; oil and yields react as diplomacy continues after Trump's rejection.