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Options Market Signals New 'Bullish Regime' for Bitcoin, Says Analyst

David Lawant says bitcoin is entering a new bullish regime, citing options market signals and rising open interest.

30/09/2026 13:306 min read

David Lawant, head of research at Anchorage Digital, has observed that bitcoin is entering what he calls a new "bullish regime" based on signals from the options market.

Bitcoin futures open interest has climbed back above $50 billion, a level not seen this year. Lawant views this as a sign of market vitality rather than a warning signal. He points to rising spot volume and thinning order books as indicators that the bitcoin market is in the early stages of an upturn.

The discussion covers several topics, including how to interpret bitcoin's market structure beyond open interest, the liquidity absorption ratio, and how to spot a market regime change. Lawant also examines the $60 billion bitcoin options market and the volatility curve, noting why short-dated bitcoin volatility stayed elevated in 2026. He discusses what bitcoin options can reveal that price alone cannot, and shares lessons from Anchorage's 37,000 covered call backtests. Additionally, the conversation touches on how ETFs and treasury companies are altering price discovery.

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this show are those of the participants and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of BTC Inc., Bitcoin Magazine, or any affiliated entities. This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment, legal, tax, or accounting advice. Nothing contained in this show constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Viewers should consult their own advisors before making financial or business decisions.

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Disclaimer: this article comes from third-party media and is provided for reference only. It does not constitute investment advice. Crypto and other financial products carry significant price volatility risk, so please make your own decisions carefully.

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