Treasury yield drop may signal deeper AI credit risks
Despite a sharp fall in Treasury yields, stocks have been battered. Rising CDS spreads for AI players like CoreWeave and Oracle suggest investors are worrying…
US stocks ended mixed after stronger-than-expected jobs data. The Dow and S&P fell while the Russell and Nasdaq 100 rose, and September rate hike odds climbed…
US stocks closed mixed on Friday as investors processed a stronger-than-expected jobs report. The Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq each ended modestly lower, while the tech-focused Nasdaq 100 and the small-cap Russell 2000 recorded modest gains.
The robust labor report carries implications for both sides. On one hand, sustained hiring bolsters economic growth and corporate profits; on the other, it could prolong higher inflation and interest rates. This tension drove the day's divergent moves. The probability of a September rate increase rose to 57% from just over 50% ahead of the data.
President Trump stated that if the Federal Reserve fails to cut interest rates, he would cease trading with countries that run trade surpluses with the US.
The closing levels were:
The divergence between the Nasdaq Composite and the Nasdaq 100 indicates that gains were mostly in mega-cap tech stocks, whereas the wider Nasdaq market stayed weaker. In contrast, the Russell’s rise suggests small-caps drew some buying support even with the outlook for higher interest rates persisting.
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Despite a sharp fall in Treasury yields, stocks have been battered. Rising CDS spreads for AI players like CoreWeave and Oracle suggest investors are worrying…
Moderna shares slid up to 25% on Thursday even though its cancer vaccine cut melanoma recurrence risk by 42% in certain patients.
Asian stocks mostly fell as a US chip rout spread, gold dropped below $4,000, and Japan's core CPI returned above the BoJ target.
Nick Colas of DataTrek says tech is about 50% of the S&P 500, weakening the index as an economic proxy. He recommends the equal-weight S&P 500 and homebuilders.