Nasdaq indices bounce off support, face moving average test
Nasdaq indices bounced from support but face resistance at moving averages. The 100-hour and 200-hour MAs are key.
US stocks rallied sharply Friday but major indexes still posted weekly losses after a hot CPI report raised rate hike expectations.
US equities staged a strong recovery on Friday, breaking a four-day slide even after a hotter-than-expected consumer price index (CPI) report. Although the inflation figures pushed the likelihood of another Federal Reserve rate increase to nearly 90%, treasury yields pulled back from intraday peaks, crude prices declined, and investors stepped back into stocks.
The advance was widespread, with the major benchmarks adding between 0.45% and 0.98%. However, a single strong session could not offset the declines posted earlier in the week.
Closing prices on Wall Street
For the full trading week
The Russell 2000 was the worst-performing major index over the week. Smaller companies are generally more vulnerable to borrowing costs, making them especially exposed when treasury yields climb and expectations for tighter Fed policy rise.
Dell and Super Micro gain from Oracleâs AI spending plans
Dell Technologies jumped 11.94% to a record closing price near $567.12, with investors focusing on the ongoing expansion of AI infrastructure. The trigger was not Dellâs own earnings but Oracleâs massive data-center investment plans. Oracle is projected to spend roughly $90 billion to $95 billion this fiscal year as it builds the computing capacity needed to meet surging AI demand. Dell shares have risen 350% this year.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) is another likely beneficiary of that same spending cycle. Like Dell, Super Micro supplies high-performance servers, GPU systems, complete server racks and liquid-cooling technology required to build large-scale AI data centers. Its liquid-cooled systems are especially relevant because increasingly powerful AI chips generate enormous heat and demand more advanced cooling infrastructure.
That spending represents a cost and execution challenge for Oracle, but it means potential revenue for companies providing AI servers, storage, networking and cooling equipment. In short, Oracleâs capital expenditures can translate into orders for Dell, Super Micro and other AI-infrastructure suppliers.
The moves also highlight the âpicks and shovelsâ aspect of the AI trade. Investors need not decide which company will ultimately produce the best AI model. Hardware suppliers can benefit as long as Oracle, Microsoft and other major tech firms continue spending heavily to build the infrastructure needed to train and run those models.
Oracle beats estimates but gives back early gains
Oracle shares initially rose more than 8% after stronger-than-expected earnings but reversed course and closed down 1.78% at $150.22. The company reported adjusted earnings of $1.92 per share, above the consensus estimate of $1.74, while revenue grew 30% to $19.3 billion, also topping expectations. Cloud infrastructure revenue surged 121%, and remaining performance obligationsâcontracted but not yet recognized revenueârose to $664 billion.
The figures were impressive, but the price action indicates that expectations matter as much as actual results. Investors remain worried about the huge amount of capital Oracle must commit to data centers, the impact that spending could have on free cash flow and margins, and its reliance on a few very large AI customers. Oracle burned $5.4 billion in free cash flow during the quarter, though that was better than feared. After the sharp pre-market rise, traders used the strength to take profits, and early buyers could not maintain control.
For traders, the contrasting moves in Dell and Oracle offer an important lesson. The same AI spending boom can be interpreted differently depending on where a company sits in the investment cycle. For Dell, the spending represents demand. For Oracle, it represents future growthâbut also substantial near-term costs, financing needs and execution risk.
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Nasdaq indices bounced from support but face resistance at moving averages. The 100-hour and 200-hour MAs are key.
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