French business confidence edges higher in October, though underlying weaknesses persist
France business confidence improved to 97 in October, yet retail trade and employment indices dropped to multi-month lows.
Most Asian equities fell, the dollar eased and oil firmed on Iran strike reports; NZ inflation slowed and the Bank of Korea held its rate.
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Thursday saw a mixed picture across Asian trading: most regional equity benchmarks fell, the dollar was softer against the bulk of its major peers, and crude inched up on reporting about fresh US-Israeli military planning aimed at Iran. There was little in the way of fresh catalysts, leaving much of the day's commentary to focus on forecasts and analyst assessments.
Geopolitical risk continued to dominate the commodity backdrop. The New York Times said the US and Israeli militaries have prepared a brief but intense round of strikes against Iran that would follow the US midterm elections. The paper added, though, that President Donald Trump has repeatedly scrapped planned strikes in the current year. In a separate report, NBC News said the US is scaling back its military presence at Middle East bases and trimming embassy staff in the area, following a State Department order for non-emergency personnel to depart Saudi Arabia. Crude prices were slightly firmer, while gold declined.
On currencies, the dollar broadly softened, giving up ground to the euro, Swiss franc, British pound, yen and Canadian dollar. The Australian and New Zealand dollars went against the broader trend, easing lower.
The New Zealand dollar eased after third-quarter inflation there came in slightly below forecasts. Annual consumer price inflation cooled to 3.7% from 4.1%, below both the 3.8% consensus and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's 3.9% projection, while prices gained 0.7% on the quarter. Inflation is still above the RBNZ's 1% to 3% target, and a near-certain rate increase at next week's policy review remains priced in. Economists expect price growth to re-accelerate in the fourth quarter as fuel costs rise.
Korea's central bank kept its benchmark rate at 3.00%, matching the forecast of every analyst in a Reuters poll, and paused after quarter-point increases in July and August. Economists see a further rise to 3.25% in November as likely, pointing to robust chip-driven exports and inflation above target.
Equity benchmarks around the region ended broadly in the red. The Nikkei 225 retreated about 1%, while South Korea's Kospi lost more ground. China's Shanghai Composite slipped roughly 1%, stretching a 10-week decline, and the Hang Seng lagged with a drop of close to 2.5%.
In corporate news, Meta Platforms posted third-quarter revenue and earnings per share that topped estimates, sending its stock higher even as a $9.9 billion legal charge weighed on operating income. Meta also laid out plans for an effective 2-for-1 stock split using a new class of non-voting shares. Tesla rose to a three-month high after beating forecasts on gross margin and free cash flow, setting a target of building roughly 5 million vehicles annually by 2030.
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France business confidence improved to 97 in October, yet retail trade and employment indices dropped to multi-month lows.
Corporate card firm Ramp says 1% of firms drive 80% of AI spending; growth has stalled for two months, heightening the boom's fragility.
Bloomberg's survey: 83% of economists expect the BOJ to hike in December, none see an October move, and 67% expect quarterly increases.
South Korea's central bank held its key rate at 3% after two hikes, with a November increase still on the table.