Dollar Declines, Stock Futures Divergent, Yields Ease
The dollar is lower against all major currencies, U.S. stock futures are mixed with Dow up and Nasdaq down, and Treasury yields decline. Earnings season kicks…
The dollar is lower against all major currencies, U.S. stock futures are mixed with Dow up and Nasdaq down, and Treasury yields decline. Earnings season kicks…
Goldman Sachs expects the yuan to reach 6.40 per dollar in a year and models suggest a possible move to 6.00. Trivedi calls undervaluation 20-25%.
EUR/CHF bounced off support near 0.9300 this week, but the elevated French-German yield spread around 141 bps keeps euro risks intact.
Goldman Sachs says the yuan is 20-25% undervalued, with markets underestimating gains; it sees 6.40 per dollar within a year.
EURUSD fell to 1.1155, the lowest since May 2025, after failing to clear the 100-hour moving average. Next levels: 1.11296, 1.1060.
The US Dollar Index is hovering near an 18-month high as analysts debate a key trendline. Wednesday's CPI report will likely test the rally.
Only a minor EUR/USD option expiry at 1.1225 is scheduled for 12 October, with thin liquidity from a US bond market closure possibly amplifying moves.
The Indian rupee is set to rally about 1% after the RBI imposed measures to curb corporate hedging, with offshore trading signaling gains.
Reuters expects the PBOC to set its USD/CNY midpoint at 6.6977, still softer than market forecasts.
Forex indicative rates for Monday open show little change from late Friday; Japanese market is closed for a holiday.
U.S. stocks rebounded Friday, but weak Canadian jobs data and higher inflation expectations weighed.
The US dollar fell alongside tech stocks after a report showed OpenAI revenue below expectations, suggesting a potential shift in AI bubble dynamics.
USDCHF has stayed within a band of about 50 pips since midday Monday, with moving averages near 0.8322 signaling an absence of trend.
The PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.7973, according to a Reuters estimate.
A strong dollar is putting pressure on Asian emerging markets like Thailand and Indonesia, risking a vicious cycle of capital outflows and weaker currencies.