Bitcoin's Conflicting Signals: Inflation Weighs, Buyback Failure Bolsters
Bitcoin faces near-term pressure from hot inflation data but long-term support from a failed Treasury buyback program, per CoinShares.
The August US budget deficit was $167 billion, well below the $404 billion consensus, after a near-record $432 billion shortfall the prior month.
Last month's shortfall of $432 billion came close to a monthly record; however, a large portion of that expenditure appears to have been shifted from August, given the improvement in the most recent month.
This figure might ease some of the pressure on Treasuries, though the month-to-month data is hard to interpret due to shifting spending patterns.
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Bitcoin faces near-term pressure from hot inflation data but long-term support from a failed Treasury buyback program, per CoinShares.
August CPI data kept the Fed on track for a rate hike, pushing Treasury yields higher, while US stocks rebounded.
JPMorgan predicts Fed rate hikes in September and December; market had already priced in 86%.
Traders see 86.9% chance of Fed rate hike next week, contradicting Trump's promises. Kevin Warsh has yet to cut rates since becoming chair.