2027 global economy: risks of slowdown, recession, but not Great Depression
Global economy faces 2027 risks: AI correction, oil above $117, China weakness, but 2008-style collapse not yet signaled.
Bessent stressed monetary policy communication and backed Japan's yen steps. Also commented on Fed; crude oil rose on Iran attack.
After meeting with BOJ Governor Ueda, Treasury Secretary Bessent stated:
In comments made yesterday, Bessent indicated the Federal Reserve typically does not hike rates in response to supply shocks, suggesting there was no need for tightening. He also remarked that the 10-year yield is close to the level seen at the start of the administration's term. This appeared to imply the Fed did not require tightening, a stance that contrasted somewhat with the Fed Chair's remarks last week. Additionally, he did not mention the drop in the 10-year yield from 4.80% to 3.86% and its subsequent rebound to 4.80%, which suggests an increase in inflation and possibly inflation expectations. Inflation shocks have the potential to raise inflation expectations.
Crude oil has risen by more than $3, trading at $89.34, following reports of an American attack on Iran.
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Global economy faces 2027 risks: AI correction, oil above $117, China weakness, but 2008-style collapse not yet signaled.
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