Rising bond yields rattle stocks and gold as 10-year nears 5%
Bond yields rise with 10-year Treasury at 4.80%, stocks fall, and gold faces headwinds as markets await CPI and central bank decisions.
Eurozone final manufacturing PMI came in at 52.7 in August, with Germany posting its strongest growth in over four years. Inflation pressures eased further.
The revised figures confirmed a solid performance for the euro area's industrial sector in August, with factory output and new orders growing at their fastest pace since the beginning of 2022.
Inflationary pressures continued to ease as well, which was encouraging. Still, the rate of increase for both input costs and output prices remained above the levels seen just before the US-Iran conflict.
Germany contributed the most positive swing to the overall report, achieving its best month of manufacturing growth in over four years. This provided some relief after years of ongoing struggles for the sector.
Moreover, business confidence strengthened again in August, marking the fourth consecutive monthly rise in growth expectations for the next twelve months. The overall optimism level also stood above its long-term average.
S&P Global commented:
"The August PMI report provided the clearest signs yet that the eurozone's industrial economy has so far shaken off both the oil price shock and supply-related disruptions caused by the Middle East war. Stronger order book growth, in part owing to a recovery in export demand, should give this expansion legs."
"Breaking the PMI data down by the three main industrial groupings revealed the intermediate goods sub-sector as the main contributor of manufacturing growth. This includes critical industries such as chemicals and metals, as well as electrical equipment and electronic components, suggesting the euro area can also be a beneficiary from the tech supercycle, even if it's arriving late to the party."
"A further softening of producer price increases, even in the midst of sustained oil market volatility, helps to alleviate broader inflation worries. That said, the pace of disinflation is starting to level off and the PMI's price metrics remain well above their pre-war levels, which may just embolden a cautious stance by eurozone monetary policymakers."
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Bond yields rise with 10-year Treasury at 4.80%, stocks fall, and gold faces headwinds as markets await CPI and central bank decisions.
The yen strengthened to a seven-month high, extending USD/JPY's slide as traders await US CPI and BoJ guidance.
France's trade deficit widened to €6.67 billion in July as imports rose faster than exports.
Germany's trade surplus rose to €21.3 billion in July, beating forecasts, as imports fell 5.7% month-on-month.