Williams says no 2027 rate hike needed for now
Williams sees no need for a 2027 rate hike, expects inflation to slow, and says one more hike this year is appropriate. Treasury yields and dollar fell.
A preliminary benchmark revision to non-farm payrolls removed 79,000 jobs, contrary to expectations of a gain.
A year ago, a benchmark revision to non-farm payrolls removed 911,000 jobs, causing considerable anxiety.
The latest revision, covering the year through March, showed a decline of 79,000 jobs, compared with the consensus forecast of a 183,000 increase. This equates to a monthly average loss of 6,600 jobs. Private payrolls fell by 178,000, with retail trade being the largest contributor.
The revision is seen as a dovish indicator for the labor market, though it is preliminary and will be updated with a final figure in January.
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Williams sees no need for a 2027 rate hike, expects inflation to slow, and says one more hike this year is appropriate. Treasury yields and dollar fell.
US existing home sales rose 1.5% in September to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.99 million, exceeding the 3.95 million estimate.
Oil eased and risk appetite firmed, though the macro and geopolitical backdrop is unchanged. Focus turns to US CPI and the November 3 midterms.
IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva warns AI will disrupt jobs, with young workers bearing the brunt as entry-level roles disappear.