Fed Minutes Show Most Officials See Another Hike; Bitcoin Reacts as Stocks, Gold Stay Flat
Fed minutes from September meeting revealed most officials expect another rate hike in 2026. Bitcoin rose slightly while stocks and gold barely moved.
The US Treasury auctioned $39 billion of 10-year notes with a high yield of 5.300%, below the WI level of 5.317%.
The U.S. Treasury auctioned $39 billion of 10-year notes.
The WI level at the time of the auction was 5.317%.
The high yield came in at 5.300%.
Another reading of the WI level at auction time was 5.317%.
The stop-through was 1.7 basis points compared to an average of 0.3 basis points.
The bid-to-cover ratio stood at 2.77 times, versus the average of 2.54 times.
Direct bidders took 17.2% of the issue, slightly above the 17.0% average.
Indirect bidders accounted for 80.34%, exceeding the 74.1% average.
Dealers received only 2.54%, well below the 8.8% average.
The auction received a grade of A.
Overall, the auction was strong. Buyers agreed to a yield 1.7 basis points lower than the WI level, signaling demand. The bid-to-cover ratio comfortably beat the average, and indirect bidders snapped up 80.34% of the notes. Direct demand also edged above the average. That left dealers with just 2.54%, far below the 8.8% average and possibly a record low. The sizable stop-through, robust demand, and minimal dealer allocation support the A grade.
U.S. yields fell to session lows, with the two-year at 4.78%, the 10-year at 5.290%, and the 30-year at 5.670%.
Stocks stayed under pressure. The Dow dropped 0.69%, the S&P 500 fell 0.28%, and the NASDAQ lost 0.40%. The Russell 2000 was the worst performer, declining 1.18%, while the NASDAQ 100 fell 0.34%.
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Fed minutes from September meeting revealed most officials expect another rate hike in 2026. Bitcoin rose slightly while stocks and gold barely moved.
FOMC minutes show most participants expect a rate hike by year-end, with many viewing current policy as not restrictive.
Bitcoin fell under $83,000 as oil prices surged and US borrowing costs rose, triggering $178 million in long liquidations.
One-year inflation expectations in the New York Fed survey rose to 3.9%, the highest level since 2023, while the five-year measure held steady at 3%.