Euro zone slowdown deepens as inflation stays sticky, vexing ECB
October PMI data show euro area growth cooling while inflation remains elevated, complicating ECB rate path.
US non-farm payrolls rose 162K in August, well above the 56K expected, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%.
Before the data release, fed funds futures implied a 50% probability of a rate hike in September, with 32 basis points of tightening priced in for the year. USD/JPy stood at 156.13, while S&P 500 futures were ahead by 2 points.
The report is strong, prompting a significant bid for the US dollar. The rise in participation reversed a recent trend, preventing the jobless rate from falling below 4.1%.
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October PMI data show euro area growth cooling while inflation remains elevated, complicating ECB rate path.
UK flash services PMI came in at 53.1 in October, above the 51.8 estimate.
Eurozone October flash PMIs missed forecasts as growth continued at slowest pace, likely fueling ECB tightening speculation.
Germany's October flash manufacturing PMI was 54.2 versus 53.5 expected, while services and composite PMIs missed forecasts, pointing to slower activity.