Barkin sees current rate-hike path mirroring 1990s 'mid-cycle adjustment'
Fed's Barkin likened the current hiking cycle to the 1990s mid-cycle adjustment; an easing cycle then featured 75 bps cuts over seven months.
The US Treasury sold $69 billion in two-year notes at a 4.787% high yield, with demand slightly above average and no major anomalies.
Auction grade: C
The sale ran close to the norm across the board. The 4.787% high yield landed 0.2 basis points above the when-issued figure, a tail only slightly wider than the usual 0.1 basis point. Demand edged up on the bid-to-cover measure, at 2.63 times versus 2.61 times, and direct bidders claimed a bit more than their typical share. Indirect bidding slipped just under average, while the dealer take was about steady. With no clear sign of strength or weakness, C is a reasonable grade.
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Fed's Barkin likened the current hiking cycle to the 1990s mid-cycle adjustment; an easing cycle then featured 75 bps cuts over seven months.
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