Morgan Stanley upgrades Brazil to overweight, predicts 10% further upside in equities and real
Morgan Stanley upgraded Brazil to overweight, forecasting 10% more gains in equities and the real by year-end.
US stocks opened higher after September payrolls rose less than expected, tempering rate hike fears.
US equities moved higher at the open on Friday after September jobs data came in softer than expected, reducing the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates again.
Investors appear to be focusing more on the relief offered by lower rate expectations than on the cooling labour market itself, based on the early trading reaction.
The positive reception for stocks is being driven by a dip in Treasury yields. When yields decline, the discount rate used to value future corporate earnings falls, which supports equity valuationsâparticularly for technology and growth names. Lower yields also ease financing conditions and reduce the appeal of bonds compared to stocks.
Yields have bounced somewhat from their immediate post-report lows, but are still below the levels recorded at the Morning North American Kickstart:
The main US equity indices started the session in positive territory, with the Nasdaq Composite climbing 1.17%. It touched an intraday high of 27247.97, still below the September 22 peak of 27288.79. A break above the record high would open the door for additional upside momentum.
The Nasdaq 100 index added 1.10%, hitting an early trading high of 30,899 before easing to 30,856. The prior all-time high stands at 30,770.63, a level that will be closely watched if buyers aim to push prices higher.
The S&P 500 gained 0.92% to 7737.79. Its all-time high remains higher at 7815.54, set in August, while the September swing high was near 7779.22.
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Morgan Stanley upgraded Brazil to overweight, forecasting 10% more gains in equities and the real by year-end.
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