August US industrial output flat, missing expectations
US industrial production was flat in August, missing expectations, while manufacturing output fell 0.3%.
The BOJ hiked rates 25 bps to 1.25%, but dovish dissents disappointed markets. The yen weakened, stocks fell, and oil and bond yields remained elevated.
Key headlines for the session:
Current market snapshot:
The BOJ policy decision stood as the day's key event, with the central bank implementing a 25-basis-point rate increase that markets had anticipated. This move lifted the policy rate to 1.25%, the highest level in 31 years.
The BOJ indicated it intends to continue tightening policy, but its statement offered no hints of an accelerated pace. Governor Ueda's subsequent press conference likewise failed to provide such signals. This outcome, together with two dovish dissenting votes from board members appointed by Prime Minister Takaichi, left markets disappointed.
USD/JPY first rose to 157.10 in Asian trading, then pulled back to 156.60 during Ueda's press conference, before surging to challenge the 158.00 level afterward.
In broader markets, investors largely continued to absorb the Federal Reserve's decision from earlier this week. Oil prices retreated as concerns over Middle East supply disruptions faded, but a nervous bond market offset that relief.
Brent crude fell another 1.3% on the day to $103.37, though it remains comfortably above $100. Meanwhile, 10-year Treasury yields hovered just under the 5% threshold, around 4.96%.
Although that brought some relief yesterday, European shares are once again turning jittery, extending their declines from earlier in the week. US futures are little changed after early gains were trimmed, pointing to a tense open as the week draws to a close.
There is some solace for broader markets in that the bond market did not fall apart after the Fed's decision this week. Warsh successfully delivered the anticipated rate increase while keeping longer-term yields relatively stable, though investors remain uncertain about the path ahead for rates.
However, as long as oil prices and bond yields keep threatening to move higher, investors will find it difficult to hold onto any lasting relief once the current calm fades.
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US industrial production was flat in August, missing expectations, while manufacturing output fell 0.3%.
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