US August payrolls top estimates at 162K
US non-farm payrolls rose 162K in August, well above the 56K expected, while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%.
04/09/2026 12:425 min read
Macro News
Inflation, employment, growth data and central bank decisions, and how they reprice risk across markets.
Canada loses 41,700 jobs in August, far missing 15,000 gain forecast
Canada's economy lost 41,700 jobs in August, far below the 15,000 gain expected, while the unemployment rate held at 6.4%.
04/09/2026 12:416 min read
August Non-Farm Payrolls Preview: US and Canada Data on Deck
US and Canadian non-farm payrolls reports are due shortly. Markets focus on USD/JPY trading, fixed income yields, and Canada's employment after BOC held rates.
04/09/2026 12:217 min read
European markets steady as traders await NFP release
Eurozone retail sales fell 0.6% m/m in July; markets trade sideways ahead of US NFP data.
04/09/2026 11:317 min read
Retail traders misled by economic calendar impact labels
Retail traders lost money after relying on economic calendar impact labels, which fail to account for context and unscheduled events.
04/09/2026 09:528 min read
Consumer caution weighs on Eurozone retail sales in July
Eurozone retail sales fell 0.6% m/m in July, and EU sales declined 0.4%. Year on year, euro area rose 0.6% and EU rose 1.0%.
04/09/2026 09:325 min read
Forecast distribution for US non-farm payrolls analyzed
Analysis of forecast distribution for US non-farm payrolls, unemployment rate, and average hourly earnings data.
04/09/2026 08:116 min read
IMF Verifies El Salvador Bitcoin Growth Came from Private Donations
The IMF confirmed that El Salvador's Bitcoin reserve growth came from private donations, not public funds, and expects no further accumulation.
04/09/2026 06:308 min read
Asia-Pacific shares drift ahead of US payrolls data
Asian markets were directionless as traders awaited US payrolls, with currencies recovering and commodities steady.
04/09/2026 04:019 min read
New Zealand central bank signals next rate hike likely in December
The RBNZ raised rates again but signaled the next hike is more likely in December than October.
04/09/2026 03:3316 min read
Diesel shortages and strong ISM data flag persistent inflation threat for gold and stocks
Diesel supply tightness and hot ISM price indexes signal entrenched inflation, threatening gold and stocks.
04/09/2026 02:4930 min read
Kospi Rises on Fed Rate-Hold Hopes
South Korea's Kospi rose 1.14% on Friday after Fed's Waller signaled a rate hold. Jobs data awaited.
04/09/2026 02:269 min read
September Fed Rate Hike Odds Slip to 50/50 as Bitcoin Tests $82,000
Odds of a September Fed rate hike fell to 50/50 on Friday, reversing a 70% probability from a day earlier, as Bitcoin rallied near $82,000.
04/09/2026 01:588 min read
Japan's July household spending sees steepest fall since January 2024
Japan's household spending fell 3.6% in July from a year earlier, the biggest drop since January 2024. A September BOJ hike remains almost fully priced in, at…
04/09/2026 00:223 min read
Unpacking the myth of the magazine cover indicator in financial markets
The magazine cover indicator is widely misused but has a real mechanism worth understanding.
03/09/2026 23:5121 min read