USDCAD buyers press 1.4080 after 320-pip rally
USDCAD gained about 320 pips from 1.3760 to 1.4080, testing a key resistance level.
Euro slid to its lowest since July as Iran deal hopes faded, while WTI rose and the dollar firmed.
Following Trump's address to the UN, the hope for a resolution with Iran appears to be waning.
Earlier, a Kyodo report indicated that Iran might reopen the Strait of Hormuz if the US lifted its blockade. However, that account was denied by FARS, and Trump made no such reference in his UN speech. Rather, he suggested a deal would probably come after the midterm elections.
It would be natural for him to seek an agreement ahead of the midterms to keep Republican control, yet he appears to think that isn't feasible. Even so, reliable reports indicate that neighboring nations are engaged in diplomatic efforts, so the situation could shift rapidly.
The market currently appears to be betting against a deal, as WTI crude has climbed to $91.68 from a low of $89.16. This same mood is driving demand for the US dollar, pushing yields higher and dragging the euro lower. The drop today has taken the euro to its weakest point since July 29, with little support visible until the July low of 1.1350.
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USDCAD gained about 320 pips from 1.3760 to 1.4080, testing a key resistance level.
ANZ and Credit Agricole see near-term dollar support from rate repricing, but caution that upside may be capped.
PBOC set the yuan central rate at 6.7459 per dollar versus a 6.6989 forecast, the strongest since February 3, 2023.
USDJPY tests the 61.8% retracement at 157.536 after buyers defended the 50% midpoint, with key resistance at 157.90-158.04.