Wall Street ends lower as rate hike expectations grow
US stocks ended lower Wednesday after the Fed signaled a September rate hike, with small caps leading declines.
European indices rose with CAC 40 up 0.98% halving weekly losses. Fed's Warsh hawkish tone kept U.S. markets mixed.
European major indices ended the session higher as London and European traders headed for the exit. The CAC in France led the advance, rising 0.98%, marking a reversal from the index's performance earlier in the week. Ironically, the index had closed the week down -0.98%, meaning the decline was cut in half during today's trading. A summary of daily index performance follows:
For the trading week, major indices delivered a mixed finish:
In the European debt market, benchmark 10-year yields rose across the board, led by France and Italy:
In U.S. markets, major indices are trading mixed following Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's speech at Jackson Hole. Warsh adopted a hawkish tone at the event, offering no explicit guidance on the next interest-rate decision but making clear that inflation remains the Fed's primary focus. He described the economy as resilient and strengthening, with solid consumer spending, strong AI-related business investment, historically low unemployment and financial conditions that are difficult to characterize as restrictive. At the same time, PCE inflation remains well above the Fed's firm 2% target, and recent encouraging readings have not convinced him that underlying inflation is improving sufficiently. Warsh said the Fed must see inflation moving toward its objective clearly and at an adequate pace, signaling a high bar for near-term easing while stressing that he remains committed to policy discipline rather than any predetermined rate decision. The expectation for a September hike now stands near 59%.
U.S. markets are reacting to Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole message with a clear rise in Treasury yields and growing pressure on interest-rate-sensitive stocks. Warsh's emphasis on persistent inflation, resilient growth and relatively easy financial conditions is prompting markets to scale back expectations for near-term rate cuts.
U.S. stocks are mixed:
The Dow is holding up, but technology shares and small-cap stocks are underperforming. Both groups are more sensitive to higher borrowing costs and reduced expectations for Fed easing.
Treasury yields are higher across the curve:
The larger rise at the front end is flattening the yield curve, reflecting a more hawkish reassessment of near-term Fed policy. The market takeaway is that Warsh has set a high bar for easing: inflation must show clearer and more sustained progress before the Fed is likely to consider lowering rates.
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US stocks ended lower Wednesday after the Fed signaled a September rate hike, with small caps leading declines.
US stocks reversed course and dropped to day's lows after absorbing a hawkish message, with the S&P 500 falling 21 points to 7709.
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