BOJ rate hike likely, yen rally at risk
BOJ expected to hike rates next week, but yen rally may be limited if Ueda signals caution.
US dollar strengthens to new highs against major currencies, supported by rising oil and yields amid Middle East tensions after Trump said US strikes Iran.
The US dollar is gaining against most major currencies, supported by higher oil prices and rising yields amid escalating military tensions in the Middle East.
Oil has climbed nearly $4 on the day, approaching $90 a barrel. Yields are still high, with the two-year note up 3.7 basis points and the 10-year note up 3.4 basis points.
President Trump stated that the US is currently conducting strikes on Iranian targets near the Strait of Hormuz, describing them as larger and powerful. These attacks are a response to Iranian strikes, which themselves were retaliation for earlier US attacks on Iran. This cycle of retaliation continues.
The US dollar's strength is pushing the following major currency pairs to new lows:
Technical factors are driving the moves in each of these pairs as they fall against the greenback.
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BOJ expected to hike rates next week, but yen rally may be limited if Ueda signals caution.
The yen hit a six-month high against the dollar as BOJ hike bets built, while China's August imports missed forecasts and the Kospi gained nearly 2%.
PBOC set the yuan central rate at 6.7804 per dollar, above estimates, and conducted a net 4 billion yuan drain via reverse repos.
MUFG sees ECB hike this week, highlights euro downside risk from Lagarde's comments, German elections, and gas prices.