AUDUSD pulls back after CPI-fueled rally, 200-hour MA in focus
AUDUSD fell from a weekly high of 0.7207 after hawkish Fed comments, with the 200-hour moving average now a key support.
Yen slide towards 160 keeps markets alert for G20 signals on possible joint intervention by Japan and US.
The Japanese yen's renewed drift toward 160 against the dollar, despite last month's rare coordinated intervention, is keeping currency traders attentive to any hint that Tokyo and Washington might step in again. When Satsuki Katayama described the joint statement with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent as something that "still lives," officials appeared to be trying to keep the threat of intervention credible without pledging fresh action — a stance the market is likely to test if the yen softens further. Whether Katayama and Bessent hold a sideline meeting in Asheville will be seen as a gauge of how seriously either capital is taking the yen's renewed weakness, and Kazuo Ueda's likely presence adds another avenue for BOJ policy signals to emerge.
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The yen has slipped back close to its pre-intervention trough, increasing the pressure on Tokyo and Washington to demonstrate that their bilateral currency statement still matters.
Summary:
Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said on Friday that she will attend next week's meeting of Group of 20 finance officials in Asheville, North Carolina. Speaking to reporters after a regular cabinet session, she expressed a hope of participating in debate on the world economy and international finance. Her presence comes as currency markets stay on the lookout for any sign of renewed teamwork between Japan and the United States on the yen's persistent slide.
Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda is also anticipated at the G20 event, although the central bank has not officially revealed his schedule. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has already stated that he looks forward to seeing Ueda in Asheville, raising expectations that currency and monetary policy will be front and centre in informal discussions. Markets are especially interested in whether Katayama will sit down directly with Bessent, given the duo's co-ordinated yen-buying effort last month to halt the currency's decline.
That operation produced only a temporary and apparently diminishing effect. The yen, after touching a 40-year trough of nearly 164 per dollar last month, surged to as high as 155.20 immediately after the joint action was announced. But it has since slipped back toward the 160 level, settling at 155.41 per dollar on Friday, leaving market participants unsure how durable the support from that intervention will turn out to be.
When asked about the yen's stubborn softness, Katayama defended the continued relevance of the joint statement she issued with Bessent, labelling it "very strong" and affirming that it "still lives" — language that seems meant to protect the credibility of an intervention threat without explicitly signalling imminent new action. She also noted wider government initiatives to increase investment and fortify Japan's underlying growth capacity, saying those moves would over time boost the yen's credibility by improving the currency's global competitiveness.
The G20 gathering thus falls at a sensitive juncture for Japan's currency policy, with officials needing to balance assurances that co-ordinated action is still an option against the reality that the yen has already given back much of its post-intervention appreciation. Any bilateral encounter between Katayama and Bessent, or any remark from Ueda on the meeting's fringes, will be closely examined by markets for clues on whether further joint steps might be taken if the currency continues to weaken.
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