RBA rate at 4.85% in sight; economists disagree on further tightening
The RBA is expected to raise its cash rate to 4.85% on Tuesday. The tone of the statement, not the hike, will determine the Australian dollar's moves.
03/11/2026 01:1117 min read
AUD
RBA rate increase expected; JPMorgan sees persistent hawkish bias
JPMorgan predicts RBA rate increase at November meeting, says central bank will keep hawkish stance.
02/11/2026 01:1214 min read
AUD/NZD jumps as RBA strikes hawkish tone and RBNZ surprises with hold
RBA hawkishness and an unexpected RBNZ hold lifted AUD/NZD; the Kospi surged 6% on SK Hynix results. Brent neared $115.
28/10/2026 04:1318 min read
Australian core inflation accelerates to 3.7%, firming RBA rate-hike case
Australia's trimmed mean CPI rose to 3.7% year on year in Q3, beating forecasts, strengthening the case for an RBA rate hike on November 2-3.
28/10/2026 01:1315 min read
Australian September trimmed mean inflation came in at 3.7% y/y versus 3.6% expected
Australia's September trimmed mean annual inflation was 3.7%, above the 3.6% expected, while Q3 CPI y/y held at 3.9%.
28/10/2026 01:135 min read
Two Australian inflation gauges are out today — here's which one the RBA really follows
Australia's September CPI readings arrive today; banks see the RBA-watched quarterly trimmed mean at 1.0% on the quarter, above the RBA's 0.8% forecast pace.
28/10/2026 00:1618 min read
MUFG forecasts RBNZ to hike to 3% but fall short of hawkish path, flags NZD risk
MUFG expects the RBNZ to raise rates to 3% but sees only one more hike, while markets price more. The bank warns of downside for NZD.
27/10/2026 23:1113 min read
Asian stocks rise on Nasdaq lead; AUD, NZD gain
Asian equities rose after a Nasdaq-led US session. South Korea GDP beat forecasts, Japan services PPI climbed, and the Australian and New Zealand dollars…
27/10/2026 03:1511 min read
Aussie slips as September payrolls drop 39,300; jobless rate at five-year high of 4.7%
Australian employment fell 39,300 in September and unemployment held at a five-year high of 4.7%, prompting traders to trim their RBA hike bets.
15/10/2026 02:1313 min read
RBA Minutes Reveal Three Reasons for 4.60% Rate Hike, Further Increases on Table
RBA board voted for 25 bps rate rise to 4.60% in September, citing materialised inflation risks and higher neutral rate. Further increases remain on the table.
13/10/2026 00:5318 min read
AUD stands out among majors with gain against USD
AUD rallies against USD while other majors fall, with support near 0.69056-0.69205.
05/10/2026 19:535 min read
Asia calendar Monday, Oct 5, 2026: Australia holiday
Sydney public holiday thins AUD liquidity on Monday; ASX open, data calendar light.
04/10/2026 22:022 min read
Australia's August CPI due after RBA's 25bp cash rate hike; headline seen at 4.0%
Australia's August CPI is due one day after the RBA's 25bp rate rise, with headline inflation forecast at 4.0% and trimmed mean steady at 3.6%.
29/09/2026 20:5510 min read
China's Mid-Autumn closure tests markets ahead of National Day
China's Mid-Autumn and National Day holidays thin Asian markets, heightening volatility risks.
24/09/2026 22:2115 min read
Strong inflation data pushes RBA toward 4.60% rate, highest since 2011
Almost all economists expect the RBA to raise rates to 4.60% on Tuesday, the highest since 2011.
24/09/2026 20:3116 min read