Goolsbee: robust demand may be stoking US inflation, hardening rate hike path
Fed's Goolsbee says persistent demand and supply shocks could prolong high inflation, reinforcing case for higher rates.
Fed's Goolsbee says persistent demand and supply shocks could prolong high inflation, reinforcing case for higher rates.
Gold steadies as markets wait on UN General Assembly talks, with a potential Trump-Pezeshkian meeting and US PMIs in focus.
Central bank speeches, flash PMIs, and key employment and retail data highlight the week ahead.
Brent crude dipped below $102, but the $100 oil threshold keeps inflation fears alive and bond yields high.
Strategists say the market's 'wall of worry' is healthy, as stocks stay flat despite rising oil, yields, and a broadening rally.
BofA reaffirms forecasts for Fed rate hikes in October and December, citing strong nominal spending, with risks flagged around persistent supply shocks.
Hedge funds turned net long yen for first time since July 2025 per CFTC data, ahead of rate hikes that later hurt the yen.
Based on historical patterns, the S&P 500 tends to dip after the Fed's first hike but recovers within a year, with bond yield speed as a key risk.
Economists are raising neutral rate estimates for the Fed, ECB, and Japan, signaling higher long-term yields and less room for rate cuts.
Minneapolis Fed's Kashkari said inflation is too high across the US economy, not just in oil, and supported the recent rate hike.
US stocks enter a week dominated by a 5% Treasury yield, a missile strike on Riyadh, Fed commentary, and a key Trump-Xi meeting.
Cramer expects a calm week ahead, with analyst meetings and earnings from Okta, Costco, KB Home, and others in focus.
Elon Musk predicts AI will double US GDP growth to 4% next year, a figure far above Fed projections. The forecast comes as California mandates AI audits and a…
Kansas City Fed's Schmid supports recent rate hike, citing inflation above 3% and broad-based price pressures, while noting the economy's strength outside…
CoinShares predicts Bitcoin will stay below $80,000 this year, citing Fed policy and stalled crypto legislation. VanEck forecasts $100,000.