Week Ahead: Eurozone CPI, RBNZ, BoC, and US Jobs Data
Eurozone CPI data, RBNZ and BoC policy decisions, and US employment figures are the key events for the week of August 31-September 4.
Inflation, employment, growth data and central bank decisions, and how they reprice risk across markets.
Eurozone CPI data, RBNZ and BoC policy decisions, and US employment figures are the key events for the week of August 31-September 4.
Germany's state-level CPI data due today; headline inflation expected to rise to 3.0%.
Bank of America says Warsh's Jackson Hole speech raises pressure for a September rate hike unless data turns soft.
China's official manufacturing PMI rose to 49.8 in August, beating expectations but remaining below the 50-point expansion threshold for a second month.
Private non-farm inventories fell 0.2% in Q2, subtracting 0.3pp from GDP, while credit and profits missed forecasts.
China's official August manufacturing PMI came in at 49.8, above the 49.7 forecast and the prior 49.2. Non-manufacturing PMI was 49.0 and composite PMI was…
New Zealand business confidence fell to 53.7 in August from 56.1, according to the ANZ survey.
Goldman Sachs maintains its view that the Fed will hold rates steady in September, as inflation data is unlikely to justify a hike despite Warsh's hawkish tone.
Japan's industrial output and retail sales beat forecasts in July, but manufacturers expect a September decline.
ASB expects RBNZ to hike 25bp on Wednesday and signal at least one more hike, with OCR peak near 3.3%.
Bessent presses G20 on China's $1.2 trillion surplus, keeps tariff truce on $30 billion in goods.
ECB's Isabel Schnabel argued at Jackson Hole that the euro should be issued on a blockchain, and stablecoins cannot replace central bank money for settlement.
NZIER's Shadow Board reports a majority recommending a 25bp OCR hike to 2.75% on Wednesday, but several members prefer holding at 2.50%.
Following hawkish remarks from Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole, implied probability of a September rate hike rose to 58%, pressuring equities.
China releases August official PMI data on Monday, with manufacturing consensus at 49.6.