Wharton professor says midterms, Trump halt Fed rate hikes
Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel says midterm elections and Trump pressure are preventing the Fed from raising rates.
Inflation, employment, growth data and central bank decisions, and how they reprice risk across markets.
Wharton professor Jeremy Siegel says midterm elections and Trump pressure are preventing the Fed from raising rates.
China's August imports grew 28.2% y/y, missing the 30% forecast, while exports and trade surplus met expectations.
NAB business conditions hit six-year low; ASX, AUD, NZD soften; RBA hike probability high.
Japan's Q2 GDP was revised up to 1.4% annualised, reinforcing expectations that the BOJ will hike to 1.25% on September 18.
Japan's revised Q2 GDP came in at 1.4% year-on-year, above the preliminary 1.1% estimate.
Japan's real wages rose 2.4% in July, seventh straight gain, while nominal pay hit 4.7%, fastest since 1997, supporting BOJ rate hike.
Japan's July 2026 average cash earnings rose 4.7% year-on-year, beating the 3.9% forecast, and real wages increased 2.4%.
UBS expects two Fed rate hikes in 2025 after strong jobs data, maintaining a positive equity outlook driven by economic strength.
China releases August trade data today, with export and import growth expected to accelerate, while a beat could support risk currencies like the Australian…
Japan's Q2 GDP revision out today could sway BOJ September rate hike odds, currently at 80%.
Japan's GDP and China trade data due Tuesday; preliminary Q2 GDP missed expectations.
Bitcoin held above $79,000 during a 3.7% yen rally, avoiding the 20% crash seen in 2024. Japan spent $94.6B on intervention.
Eurozone Q2 GDP was revised up to 0.6% q/q on trade, with annual growth at 1.2%, but underlying domestic demand remained soft.
Eurozone Sentix investor confidence index rose to 5.1 in September, its highest since February 2022.
Economic calendar for September 7-11 with ECB meeting, U.S. inflation data, and Australian consumer sentiment.