Australia Delivers Rate Hike to 4.60% as RBA Warns of More to Come
The RBA raised its cash rate to 4.60%, a 15-year high, and signaled further hikes if inflation does not ease.
European stocks opened mostly higher but gains were modest as rising bond yields and oil prices kept pressure on risk sentiment.
European stocks largely opened higher, though caution is warranted given the modest gains. The scenario resembles yesterday's start, which saw indexes finish lower by the close.
A major concern for equities is that the macroeconomic environment has become more uncomfortable overnight.
The 10-year Treasury yield briefly exceeded 5.27%, a level not seen since 2007, as markets factor in prolonged higher interest rates globally. Oil prices are also climbing once more, with Brent crude above $106, amid a lack of progress in US-Iran talks.
This mix of rising yields and elevated energy costs is exactly what is weighing on stocks. It pressures valuations and adds to fears that inflation could be stickier than central banks desire.
The Reserve Bank of Australia's move earlier to hike rates to 4.60% reinforces this trend, with officials indicating that certain upside inflation risks are becoming reality.
Also, external cues are not encouraging. US futures are slightly weaker following Wall Street's difficulties on Tuesday, with S&P 500 futures off by 0.1%.
Therefore, the initial advances appear to reflect temporary resilience rather than a genuine risk appetite. Should Treasury yields keep rising and oil remain above $100, European equities will continue to face a challenging environment of high valuations and persistent inflation.
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The RBA raised its cash rate to 4.60%, a 15-year high, and signaled further hikes if inflation does not ease.
Spanish inflation accelerated to 4.9% in September, the highest since February 2023, while core price growth picked up to 3.1%.
Spain's preliminary September CPI rose 4.9% y/y, above the 4.6% expected, while HICP increased 5.0%.
RBA's Bullock downplays August CPI as a policy trigger, citing monetary policy lag and stressing the report's limited forward guidance.