UK flash services PMI hits 53.1 in October, surpassing expected 51.8
UK flash services PMI came in at 53.1 in October, above the 51.8 estimate.
The Fed's Beige Book shows modest economic growth and moderate inflation since July, with mixed outlooks.
The Federal Reserve's Beige Book, released ahead of its September policy meeting, characterised economic activity with these points:
The Beige Book offers a snapshot of the U.S. economy based on reports from businesses and other contacts across the Fed's 12 regional districts. It is released eight times a year, prior to each Fed policy meeting.
Rather than focusing mainly on statistics, it gathers firsthand observations on:
For traders, the Beige Book helps answer whether the economy is heating up or cooling down. Stronger activity and persistent price pressures could support keeping interest rates higher. Slower growth and easing inflation could support rate cuts.
The Beige Book does not announce policy or promise the Fed's next move. It adds context to the economic data policymakers use to make those decisions.
U.S. stocks are trading higher, with the S&P 500 up 0.47% and the Nasdaq up 0.37%.
U.S. Treasury yields are mixed, with the two-year note down 1.05 basis points at 4.383%. The 10-year yield is unchanged at 4796% and the 30-year bond is up 0.7 basis points at 5.267%.
Crude oil futures have moved back above $91, currently at $91.41, up about $1.20. The day's high reached $92.29, and the low was $88.97.
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UK flash services PMI came in at 53.1 in October, above the 51.8 estimate.
Eurozone October flash PMIs missed forecasts as growth continued at slowest pace, likely fueling ECB tightening speculation.
Germany's October flash manufacturing PMI was 54.2 versus 53.5 expected, while services and composite PMIs missed forecasts, pointing to slower activity.
Corporate bond premiums are expanding globally, hitting levels unseen since the 2025 tariff shock, driven by anxiety over debt-funded AI spending.