Bitcoin's Conflicting Signals: Inflation Weighs, Buyback Failure Bolsters
Bitcoin faces near-term pressure from hot inflation data but long-term support from a failed Treasury buyback program, per CoinShares.
Bitcoin rose nearly 2% to close to $79,000 on Friday, shrugging off data showing U.S. inflation accelerated in August.
On Friday, bitcoinâs price increased even though figures showed U.S. inflation had climbed.
The largest digital asset by market value changed hands near $78,749, having gained 2% in the prior 24 hours. During Fridayâs New York morning session, it peaked at $79,607.
The advance followed a report showing U.S. consumer prices picked up in August, cementing bets that the Federal Reserve would increase borrowing costs the following week.
Core inflation, which strips out food and energy, rose 0.3% month-on-month in August, exceeding forecasts.
U.S. inflation has proven stubborn partly because of the conflict with Iran, which has driven oil prices higher, pushing up expenses for food, fuel and other items.
Elevated inflation usually prompts the Fed to tighten policy, potentially halting bitcoinâs upward momentum.
CME Groupâs FedWatch tool indicates traders assign an 85% probability to an interest-rate increase at the central bankâs meeting next week, when policymakers will announce their decision on borrowing costs.
Bitcoin tends to thrive when rates are low, as cheaper borrowing boosts liquidity and encourages purchases of the cryptocurrency.
Kevin Warsh, who became Fed chair in January, delivered his inaugural address as central bank chief last month, stating he had âmore work to doâ to combat inflation.
The country faces an affordability squeeze, and climbing oil prices are a key issue ahead of the midterm elections.
President Donald Trump has told voters prices will be brought under control and has consistently pressed the Fed to cut rates.
Bitcoin posted its largest rally in years in August, spurred by favorable regulatory developments and a Treasury Department announcement.
Scott Bessent, the Treasury secretary, said the department would double its purchases of long-term bonds, a move that supported non-yielding assets such as bitcoin and gold. The digital currency also gained after Trump pressed Congress to pass the Clarity Act, a major crypto bill.
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Disclaimer: this article comes from third-party media and is provided for reference only. It does not constitute investment advice. Crypto and other financial products carry significant price volatility risk, so please make your own decisions carefully.
Bitcoin faces near-term pressure from hot inflation data but long-term support from a failed Treasury buyback program, per CoinShares.
August CPI data kept the Fed on track for a rate hike, pushing Treasury yields higher, while US stocks rebounded.
JPMorgan predicts Fed rate hikes in September and December; market had already priced in 86%.
The August US budget deficit was $167 billion, well below the $404 billion consensus, after a near-record $432 billion shortfall the prior month.