Bitcoin's Conflicting Signals: Inflation Weighs, Buyback Failure Bolsters
Bitcoin faces near-term pressure from hot inflation data but long-term support from a failed Treasury buyback program, per CoinShares.
ECB's Lane warns sustained energy price increases may curb autumn consumption. Odds of consecutive ECB rate hikes are slightly over 50%.
Lane stated that if the climb in energy costs continues, it may affect spending in the autumn, but the situation remains uncertain.
The approach taken suggests the burden of proof is now aimed at negative outcomes. Central bankers often factor in some weakness in non-energy spending during price surges, but ECB President Lagarde this week highlighted that the economy and consumption have proven resilient.
The question now is whether the ECB will raise rates in consecutive meetings, with current odds slightly above 50%.
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Bitcoin faces near-term pressure from hot inflation data but long-term support from a failed Treasury buyback program, per CoinShares.
August CPI data kept the Fed on track for a rate hike, pushing Treasury yields higher, while US stocks rebounded.
JPMorgan predicts Fed rate hikes in September and December; market had already priced in 86%.
The August US budget deficit was $167 billion, well below the $404 billion consensus, after a near-record $432 billion shortfall the prior month.